markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: O/U 6.5': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Harry Kane: 1+ goals': YES=25.00%

Polymarket top market 'Cary: Timo Legout vs Braden Shick': YES=69.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-3.5)': YES=1.70%

Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=58.00%

Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5': YES=55.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Any Other Score?': YES=17.20%

Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 2.5': YES=22.00%

Polymarket top market 'Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Texas Super Kings': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 6?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?': YES=29.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?': YES=20.20%

Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5': YES=71.00%

Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=95.00%

Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5': YES=19.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 6?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5': YES=36.00%

Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: England O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 1.5': YES=60.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?': YES=43.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=12.70%

Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=73.00%

Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?': YES=51.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)': YES=3.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 England?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-2.5)': YES=7.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels': YES=41.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?': YES=0.10%