markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 6?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=12.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Ashlyn Krueger vs Marta Kostyuk': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=33.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=12.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-06?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=14.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket