markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Spread: United States (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: United States (-1.5)': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Spread: Portugal (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Portugal (-2.5)': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?': YES=95.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Contrexeville: Anna Blinkova vs Erika Andreeva': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Contrexeville: Julia Grabher vs Rebeka Masarova': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-09?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 6?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Spain?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 6?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 6?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 6?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=12.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket