markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=88.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=32.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-06?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Eala': YES=60.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=12.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=14.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket