markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-07-06Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Portugal (-1.5)': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-09?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?': YES=98.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=5.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5': YES=79.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Spain?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: NRG vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=99.90%
NRGmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=15.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=66.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket