markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-07-06United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-09?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Belgium?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?': YES=92.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?': YES=96.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=15.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Corners': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-06United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=32.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-06?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-06Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket