markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-07-07Egypt leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Egypt leading at halftime?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=15.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?': YES=96.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=14.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=33.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket