markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Pedri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-2.5)': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Egypt?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Argentina leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Argentina leading at halftime?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=64.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 7?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Egypt?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=14.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 7?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Colombia?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Colombia?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Contrexeville: Elina Avanesyan vs Alicia Herrero Linana': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 7?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Contrexeville: Alice Tubello vs Yufei Ren': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 7?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Group A': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Matt Olson win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?
Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Egypt leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Egypt leading at halftime?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-07Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Norway vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-07Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket