markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-07-03Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Egypt?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?': YES=73.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: BIG vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic': YES=37.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5
Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 7.5': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 3?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be 20+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?': YES=56.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket