markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=53.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=8.90%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=32.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?': YES=5.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?': YES=27.00%

Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5': YES=84.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-2.5)': YES=36.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Australia 2 - 3 Egypt?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=37.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs': YES=45.00%

Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?': YES=54.00%

Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?': YES=1.30%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Egypt?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Egypt?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?': YES=4.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance': YES=82.00%

Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?': YES=1.90%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=60.00%

Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=72.00%

Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5': YES=60.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Egypt?': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?': YES=69.00%

Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5': YES=60.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-2.5)': YES=43.00%