markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?': YES=99.90%
NVDAmarket:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=24.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will David Brekalo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by May 27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will David Njoku play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-30Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-30Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=31.70%
market:polymarket