markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will David Njoku play for Miami Dolphins in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?': YES=71.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30?
Polymarket top market 'Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-05-31Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?': YES=98.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by May 31?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-05-31Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=35.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=64.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket