markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
- 2026-06-01Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider': YES=0.10%
KEYSmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Polymarket top market 'Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parry': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-01US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Polymarket top market 'US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-01Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?': YES=56.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket