markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.67%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=11.81%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?': YES=19.27%

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=53.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.60%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=32.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=53.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=10.33%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=72.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia stock $300 or higher in 2026': YES=18.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=23.50%

Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?': YES=15.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?': YES=11.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?': YES=34.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=42.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=26.60%

Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by June 30?': YES=1.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=19.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 4?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=33.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?': YES=8.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?': YES=3.50%

Polymarket top market 'Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva': YES=57.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Jacksonville Jaguars next?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?': YES=6.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?': YES=42.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=26.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?': YES=64.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 4?': YES=92.20%