markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=10.33%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=52.12%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia stock $300 or higher in 2026': YES=18.98%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=23.50%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=73.44%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=55.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=80.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?': YES=5.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?': YES=97.20%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spurs (-6.5)': YES=50.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?': YES=77.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Tennessee Titans next?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?': YES=49.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs': YES=88.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=54.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Alberta join the US?': YES=4.90%

Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by June 30?': YES=3.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 5?': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=5.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?': YES=99.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1': YES=63.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for Jacksonville Jaguars next?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?': YES=51.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?': YES=23.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=19.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?': YES=45.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=53.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5?': YES=28.00%

Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=19.40%

Polymarket top market 'US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?': YES=3.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?': YES=70.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?': YES=27.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?': YES=0.30%