markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilagan
Polymarket top market 'Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilagan': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=18.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Athletics vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Houston Astros': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=38.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket