markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
- 2026-06-06Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Iran closes its airspace by June 30?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=37.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Petr Bar Biryukov': YES=99.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?': YES=0.20%
MSFTmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-06Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-06Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket