markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=52.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner': YES=99.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?': YES=22.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?': YES=94.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=78.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?': YES=70.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-06-07Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=16.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?': YES=30.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?': YES=21.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-06-07Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=8.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?': YES=99.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket