markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Brad Ausmus be the next Red Sox manager?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane': YES=85.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 1?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Nuno Borges': YES=89.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco Gauff': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carlos Rodón strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=68.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-01?': YES=71.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?': YES=93.20%
ANTHROPICmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shohei Ohtani strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Michael Zheng': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Spread: United States (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: United States (-1.5)': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kevin Gausman strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-01?': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=9.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Marton Fucsovics vs Learner Tien': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Spread: England (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-01Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=10.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Xinyu Wang be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-01Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=19.40%
market:polymarket