markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.05%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in the first half of 2026?': YES=2.06%

Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?': YES=10.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Austin Reaves play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=46.80%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 Ecuador?': YES=2.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.30%

Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5': YES=84.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?': YES=37.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=80.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=17.10%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In': YES=95.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League MVP Award?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=99.40%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 Ecuador?': YES=18.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Ecuador?': YES=4.70%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: England (-1.5)': YES=50.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=43.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will United States win on 2026-07-01?': YES=71.00%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5': YES=61.00%

Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?': YES=28.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?': YES=6.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=91.50%

Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 1.5': YES=33.00%

Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane': YES=83.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?': YES=97.90%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?': YES=17.00%

Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score': YES=40.00%

Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Ecuador?': YES=0.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Dayana Yastremska be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5': YES=48.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=6.00%