markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?': YES=48.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austin Reaves play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=9.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?': YES=58.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=34.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5': YES=42.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?': YES=0.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?': YES=0.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=11.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance': YES=99.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-02Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-02Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=15.40%
market:polymarket