markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will the Nvidia Stock close higher in Feb than Jan': YES=43.45%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap at the end of 2025?': YES=99.24%

Manifold consensus on 'Will any China-domestic AI chip reach ≥80% of NVIDIA H100 perf on a public benchmark before 2026-12-31?': YES=13.11%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA release an RTX 5080 Ti?': YES=10.08%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?': YES=19.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=27.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=52.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=52.00%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.53%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=65.32%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=53.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=8.90%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=32.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Egypt (-1.5)': YES=18.00%

Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Gentle Mates vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikova': YES=21.00%

Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5': YES=88.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?': YES=5.40%

Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=47.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 0.5': YES=62.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance': YES=81.00%

Polymarket top market 'Egypt leading at halftime?': YES=32.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?': YES=1.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?': YES=71.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will there be 20+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?': YES=4.40%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?': YES=54.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Egypt?': YES=0.60%