markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be 20+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?': YES=7.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Egypt?': YES=6.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Daniil Medvedev': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: B8 vs Alliance (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=25.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovic': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizuki': YES=86.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: BIG vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-04?': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=8.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic': YES=30.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=35.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=66.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket