markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Egypt?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Egypt?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 15?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance': YES=82.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Egypt?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?': YES=31.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-2.5)': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Egypt leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Egypt leading at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-04?': YES=83.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?': YES=7.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ayo Dosunmu play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=9.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Egypt?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Spread: Egypt (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Egypt (-1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-03Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-03Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Michael Zheng': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket