markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=53.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia NVDA stock drop more than 50% from its peak at any point by the end of 2026?': YES=8.90%

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=32.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA FY2028 (Feb 2027 – Jan 2028) revenue exceed $400B?': YES=59.10%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=10.00%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.53%

Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?': YES=99.70%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Austria?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5': YES=79.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Austria?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?': YES=68.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Austria?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance': YES=66.00%

Polymarket top market 'Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score': YES=51.00%

Polymarket top market 'ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs South Africa': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?': YES=13.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Austria (-1.5)': YES=0.25%

Polymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score': YES=58.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?': YES=86.00%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=27.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Portugal (-1.5)': YES=33.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?': YES=4.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will there be 30+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5': YES=99.75%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?': YES=35.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Austria?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?': YES=29.50%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance': YES=92.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-2.5)': YES=29.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?': YES=16.50%