markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,709 events on 2026-07-03role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-27 · run status: success with data

← prev day2026-07-03next day →all history

2026-07-02Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Austria?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance': YES=71.75%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5': YES=99.75%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will a player representing Switzerland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will a player representing Switzerland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Declan Rice win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Spain leading at halftime?
Polymarket top market 'Spain leading at halftime?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5': YES=55.75%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5': YES=8.25%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?': YES=48.75%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Austin Reaves play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will Austin Reaves play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=6.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=9.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will no listed leader be out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?': YES=58.25%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Polymarket top market 'Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Polymarket top market 'Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=18.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=34.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5': YES=42.25%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=5.80%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
Polymarket top market 'Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?': YES=0.25%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?': YES=0.75%
market:polymarket
2026-07-02Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket