markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,700 events on 2026-07-14role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data

← prev day2026-07-14next day →all history

2026-07-14Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Any Other Score?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Spread: France (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-1.5)': YES=19.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5': YES=92.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14ODI Series England vs India: England vs India
Polymarket top market 'ODI Series England vs India: England vs India': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 14?
Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 14?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
Polymarket top market 'Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will England win on 2026-07-15?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-15?': YES=36.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner': YES=18.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?
Polymarket top market 'Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5': YES=29.25%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=40.25%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Swedish Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Grigor Dimitrov
Polymarket top market 'Swedish Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Grigor Dimitrov': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Polymarket top market 'Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?': YES=30.75%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=6.80%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Polymarket top market 'Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=17.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5': YES=49.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=21.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
Polymarket top market 'Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-14Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=39.00%
market:polymarket