markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.09%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will @Champion1024 get a girlfriend before NVIDIA market cap hits 5.5 trillion USD?': YES=53.43%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=53.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=53.00%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will TSMC exceed Nvidia in market capitalization at any point before 2032?': YES=36.95%

Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?': YES=17.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=86.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?': YES=7.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=1.90%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=5.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Londrina EC win on 2026-07-13?': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=71.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?': YES=61.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 13?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Entropy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?': YES=4.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?': YES=16.90%

Polymarket top market 'Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martin': YES=69.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?': YES=8.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: France (-2.5)': YES=6.50%

Polymarket top market 'ODI Series West Indies vs. New Zealand: West Indies vs New Zealand': YES=3.30%

Polymarket top market 'England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?': YES=2.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5': YES=92.75%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=6.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Granby: Justin Boulais vs Zhizhen Zhang': YES=81.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=3.30%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=80.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=10.00%