markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Istanbul 2: Vera Zvonareva vs Viktoria Hruncakova': YES=86.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D': YES=87.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea Pellegrino': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=80.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs MIBR.LOS - Game 1 Winner': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=7.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=89.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will the New York Mets have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
Polymarket top market 'Will the New York Mets have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos Tsitsipas': YES=41.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will France win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-18?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud
Polymarket top market 'Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruud': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Polymarket top market 'LoL: GAM Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=96.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket