markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-28 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16France vs. England: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 2.5': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-18?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?
Polymarket top market 'Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Granby: Daniil Glinka vs Philip Sekulic
Polymarket top market 'Granby: Daniil Glinka vs Philip Sekulic': YES=38.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16France vs. England: Team to Win
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: Team to Win': YES=65.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16France vs. England: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 3.5': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=89.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=32.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance': YES=59.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=95.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cal Raleigh win the 2026 American League MVP Award?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=38.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-16Will France win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will France win on 2026-07-18?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-16Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Julia Riera
Polymarket top market 'Rome: Danka Kovinic vs Julia Riera': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket