markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=56.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=94.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva': YES=72.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18France vs. England: France O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: France O/U 2.5': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-07-18?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Livesport Prague Open, Qualification: Sofia Costoulas vs Nao Hibino': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18France vs. England: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 3.5': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=90.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 3 England?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18France vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: Both Teams to Score': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=46.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-18?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18France vs. England: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 2.5': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 3 England?': YES=2.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?': YES=26.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Logan Gilbert win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-18Will France vs. England end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will France vs. England end in a draw?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-18Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=14.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilo': YES=96.20%
market:polymarket