markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=74.92%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.09%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=52.00%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=52.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Texas Rangers hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=34.80%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=90.90%

Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 2.5': YES=68.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 20?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?': YES=2.70%

Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 4.5': YES=26.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5': YES=68.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: France O/U 2.5': YES=34.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=22.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?': YES=96.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?': YES=9.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?': YES=3.80%

Polymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)': YES=35.00%

Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?': YES=4.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=41.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?': YES=94.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?': YES=3.20%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=14.00%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?': YES=1.50%

Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 0.5': YES=96.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=37.00%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=14.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=78.00%