markets

Polymarket/Manifold/Kalshi

2,683 events on 2026-07-18role: thematic30d fetch windowcadence: contextaccess: keyless

Extracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt

Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.

Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.

Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data

← prev day2026-07-18next day →all history

2026-07-18France vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: Both Teams to Score': YES=69.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=35.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=27.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 18?': YES=91.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
Polymarket top market 'President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?': YES=97.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 2+ goals': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will the Boston Red Sox hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Boston Red Sox hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=15.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 2 England?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Club Puebla win on 2026-07-17?
Polymarket top market 'Will Club Puebla win on 2026-07-17?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=9.60%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=57.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will England win on 2026-07-18?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=77.40%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Lionel Messi: 3+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 3+ goals': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18France vs. England: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'France vs. England: O/U 3.5': YES=45.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-17?
Polymarket top market 'Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-17?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
Polymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=18.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?': YES=2.20%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Will France vs. England end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will France vs. England end in a draw?': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket
2026-07-18Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket