markets

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIA allowed to sell B30A to China by 2027?': YES=19.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=27.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=74.92%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.09%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=51.00%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=49.65%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=62.00%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=10.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=16.00%

Polymarket top market 'Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals': YES=5.00%

Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)': YES=40.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will IK Sirius win on 2026-07-19?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=31.00%

Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5': YES=50.00%

Polymarket top market 'Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5': YES=1.90%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=94.40%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals': YES=1.50%

Polymarket top market 'Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals': YES=26.00%

Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees': YES=55.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5': YES=27.00%

Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?': YES=99.80%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5': YES=50.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5': YES=28.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=13.30%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=47.00%