markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-19Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?': YES=48.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=19.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 18?': YES=99.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-18?
Polymarket top market 'Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-18?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Polymarket top market 'Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=7.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Any Other Score?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha': YES=35.00%
NRGmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-2.5)': YES=6.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=49.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=4.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs August Holmgren': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5': YES=22.75%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=94.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=7.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Polymarket top market 'World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 1+ goals': YES=33.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=24.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Lionel Messi: 3+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 3+ goals': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=17.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?': YES=97.20%
market:polymarket