markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-19New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever
Polymarket top market 'New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever': YES=62.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=73.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5': YES=69.25%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=5.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?': YES=42.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Washington Nationals vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Athletics': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=53.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=41.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=57.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Logan Gilbert win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=55.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=10.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)': YES=34.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=93.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?': YES=3.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=7.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=59.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance': YES=59.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=40.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket