markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-19Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
Polymarket top market 'Lionel Messi: 1+ goals': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?': YES=2.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Argentina (-1.5)': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Any Other Score?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5': YES=66.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5': YES=1.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?': YES=34.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=98.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5': YES=32.75%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spread: Spain (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-1.5)': YES=10.25%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5': YES=12.30%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?': YES=45.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-19Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?': YES=18.50%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?': YES=36.06%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
Polymarket top market 'Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Polymarket top market 'Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=58.80%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-19Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance': YES=58.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=40.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=7.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket