markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=49.65%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia will compete at the foundation layer by Jan 1, 2028': YES=24.11%

Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros': YES=96.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=2.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.50%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?': YES=29.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Spread: Spain (-3.5)': YES=1.40%

Polymarket top market 'Spain to score first vs. Argentina?': YES=55.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5': YES=54.00%

Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5': YES=10.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=73.30%

Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Athletics': YES=56.90%

Polymarket top market 'Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals': YES=1.00%

Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=3.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5': YES=15.00%

Polymarket top market 'Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals': YES=5.20%

Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=97.80%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5': YES=41.00%

Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=72.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half': YES=25.00%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?': YES=10.00%

Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=99.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?': YES=1.90%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners': YES=29.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.90%

Polymarket top market 'Argentina leading at halftime?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5': YES=2.80%

Polymarket top market 'Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals': YES=23.00%

Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=92.70%

Polymarket top market 'Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?': YES=0.10%