markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-2.5)': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8AM ET
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8AM ET': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 2 Winner': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=14.40%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21?': YES=95.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Estoril Open: Gonzalo Bueno vs Tiago Pereira': YES=18.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winner': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?': YES=3.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-21?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?': YES=5.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Team Syntax (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shick
Polymarket top market 'Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shick': YES=61.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa': YES=39.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Livesport Prague Open: Xinyu Gao vs Lilli Tagger': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alpha': YES=31.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Livesport Prague Open: Anna Blinkova vs Sara Bejlek': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilagan': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 21?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 21?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Generali Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Kilian Feldbausch': YES=62.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=27.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.90%
market:polymarket