markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Trump out as President by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Trump out as President by July 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shick
Polymarket top market 'Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shick': YES=59.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Iran leadership change by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=18.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=8.60%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Team Solid vs RMD Gaming (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros
Polymarket top market 'Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Andre Ilagan': YES=67.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)': YES=86.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=79.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs
Polymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs': YES=77.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5': YES=92.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5': YES=56.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=33.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?': YES=4.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=24.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=19.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 24?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=16.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 21?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.30%
market:polymarket