markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5': YES=30.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=75.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosa': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=9.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=48.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=8.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=5.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=32.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=38.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=4.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings
Polymarket top market 'New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=6.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies': YES=15.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=92.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-21San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
Polymarket top market 'San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves': YES=12.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-21Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Polymarket top market 'Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=41.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=8.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket