markets

Manifold consensus on 'NVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026': YES=27.76%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Intel manufacture NVIDIA chips by the end of 2026?': YES=27.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia have the highest market cap at the end of 2026?': YES=55.82%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY 2026?': YES=51.00%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Jensen Huang cease to be CEO of Nvidia before the end of 2026?': YES=9.84%

Manifold consensus on '3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]': YES=74.92%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?': YES=3.71%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia shares to hit new all-time-high in 2026?': YES=96.96%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Google's market cap exceed NVIDIA's by EOY?': YES=49.65%

Manifold consensus on '[ACX 2026] Will Nvidia's stock price close below $100 on any day in 2026?': YES=7.09%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Polymarket top market 'Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?': YES=4.80%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=82.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=14.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Iran leadership change by July 31?': YES=5.30%

Polymarket top market 'Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5': YES=53.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=11.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=28.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.40%

Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=46.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 22?': YES=99.80%

Polymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.90%

Polymarket top market 'Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=49.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-21?': YES=82.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=37.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?': YES=4.40%

Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=22.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=10.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?': YES=1.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.30%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season': YES=99.90%