markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm
Polymarket top market 'Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Storm': YES=96.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?': YES=46.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=33.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 22?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies': YES=71.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=49.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega': YES=45.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: ZYB Esport vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Season': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Polymarket top market 'Athletics vs. Arizona Diamondbacks': YES=29.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=66.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)': YES=15.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Sky vs. New York Liberty': YES=26.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=25.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers': YES=7.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5': YES=25.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners
Polymarket top market 'Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?': YES=13.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?': YES=99.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=22.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockx': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Welsh Fire': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels': YES=42.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?': YES=50.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees
Polymarket top market 'Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=77.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-22Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Polymarket top market 'Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=8.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarket