markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?': YES=3.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=50.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=67.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=2.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 24?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 23?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?': YES=5.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=41.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier': YES=84.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 23?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=86.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 23?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=26.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?': YES=38.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=7.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=16.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?': YES=8.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=58.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=37.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=3.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=0.40%
GOOGLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?': YES=25.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=74.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=41.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-23Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Polymarket top market 'Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket