markets

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?': YES=11.08%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028?': YES=53.42%

Manifold consensus on 'Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026?': YES=7.04%

Manifold consensus on 'Nvidia H100 compute prices above 3.50 on 11/6 at 12:00pm EST?': YES=3.48%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia close the day in Green today? (March 16)': YES=54.88%

Manifold consensus on 'Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026?': YES=33.28%

Manifold consensus on 'China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips': YES=9.82%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=9.80%

Polymarket top market 'Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Roger Pascual vs Colton Smith': YES=18.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?': YES=49.90%

Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by August 31?': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=14.00%

Polymarket top market 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?': YES=1.70%

Polymarket top market 'Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Borna Gojo vs Aidan Mayo': YES=50.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=4.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 26?': YES=78.00%

Polymarket top market 'ITF Bali: Thanaphat Boosarawongse vs Ryuki Matsuda': YES=30.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=9.00%

Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=71.00%

Polymarket top market 'LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=40.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=43.20%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?': YES=64.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=12.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=3.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 26?': YES=99.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=38.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=3.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=51.40%

Polymarket top market 'Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?': YES=78.60%

Polymarket top market 'Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=19.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will XRP reach $3.00 in July?': YES=0.20%

Polymarket top market 'Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 26?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)': YES=37.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?': YES=91.70%

Polymarket top market 'Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?': YES=38.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?': YES=95.30%

Polymarket top market 'Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=1.70%

Polymarket top market 'Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=13.50%

Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?': YES=92.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=2.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-24?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=10.00%

Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=22.00%

Polymarket top market 'Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5': YES=3.50%

Polymarket top market 'Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?': YES=0.10%

Polymarket top market 'Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5': YES=99.90%

Polymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?': YES=39.00%

Polymarket top market 'Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?': YES=38.00%

Polymarket top market 'Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-07-25?': YES=0.10%