markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiKeeps: question, probability (quote)
Polymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-27?': YES=49.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?
Polymarket top market 'S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?': YES=97.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins': YES=64.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet': YES=77.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=29.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda': YES=43.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-07-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-07-27?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zheng': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=5.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: GenOne vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=4.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=3.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?': YES=99.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=9.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Misa Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group D': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=85.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=7.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers
Polymarket top market 'Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers': YES=55.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Alice Rame vs Julie Struplova': YES=82.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=82.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Team Comanche (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?': YES=7.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=60.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-27Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=28.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'The Memphis Classic: Anastasia Zakharova vs Linda Fruhvirtova': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Clara Tauson': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubic': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Sara Sorribes Tormo': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket