markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
- 2026-07-28Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=85.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Liberec: Guido Justo vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Margaux Rouvroy vs Lola Radivojevic': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=20.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=4.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=82.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=16.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=1.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?': YES=99.70%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 28?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28?': YES=98.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=54.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=42.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5': YES=57.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Bonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena
Polymarket top market 'Bonn: Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena': YES=2.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bonn: Max Houkes vs Roberto Carballes Baena': YES=2.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Liberec: Maks Kasnikowski vs Frederico Ferreira Silva': YES=3.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Dalila Spiteri': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Giustino
Polymarket top market 'Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Giustino': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Liberec: Martin Krumich vs Philip Henning': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=76.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=23.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket