markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Guayaquil City FC vs. CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador end in a draw?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?': YES=46.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 28?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=25.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-28Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 28?': YES=99.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 27?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 27?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Guayaquil City FC win on 2026-07-27?': YES=0.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra (BO5) - VCL Latin America Finals Playoffs': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?': YES=98.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?': YES=70.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=5.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5': YES=69.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 28?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?': YES=87.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?': YES=99.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?': YES=3.80%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=1.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5': YES=14.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=70.90%
AAPLmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-28Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=3.70%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=6.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-28Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 28?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe Paquet': YES=78.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=1.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=28.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics': YES=63.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28?': YES=88.10%
market:polymarket