markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)': YES=10.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=5.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=85.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=76.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Team Comanche (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A': YES=50.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=81.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=4.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Terence Atmane': YES=88.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
Polymarket top market 'Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)': YES=84.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-28Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?': YES=5.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=53.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
Polymarket top market 'Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5': YES=52.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-28Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=23.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-28Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Polymarket top market 'Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals': YES=54.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulter': YES=65.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=94.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=13.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-07-27?
Polymarket top market 'Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-07-27?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=43.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
Polymarket top market 'Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels': YES=51.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=51.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox
Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox': YES=40.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-28Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
Polymarket top market 'Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets': YES=1.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5': YES=68.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
Polymarket top market 'Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins': YES=96.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-28Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers
Polymarket top market 'Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers': YES=94.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals': YES=72.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=28.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=71.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=9.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=1.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket consensus on 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket