markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?': YES=8.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?': YES=86.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?': YES=6.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2026-07-29?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?': YES=0.60%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: Team to Advance': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 29?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'T20 Lanka Premier League: Kandy Royals vs Galle Gallants': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?': YES=12.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. FC Thun: Team to Advance': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Iran full airspace closure by July 31?': YES=9.50%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?': YES=42.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=0.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musetti': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?': YES=6.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?': YES=93.20%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=2.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates': YES=44.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?
Polymarket top market 'Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?': YES=80.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Trent Rockets': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?': YES=5.40%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=6.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?': YES=97.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?': YES=21.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?': YES=2.10%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=40.40%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=81.40%
AAPLmarket:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=11.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?': YES=1.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?': YES=27.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?': YES=89.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=32.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=10.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 29?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarket