markets
Polymarket/Manifold/KalshiExtracts: question, probability (quote) · metadata or bounded excerpt
Retention: D1 event history with canonical source link and deduplication metadata.
Access basis: Public endpoint; no project credential required.
Last ingested: 2026-08-26 · run status: success with data
Polymarket top market 'Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?': YES=20.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?': YES=47.00%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Polymarket top market 'Israel closes its airspace by July 31?': YES=4.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?': YES=4.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend': YES=48.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=85.80%
AAPLmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?': YES=99.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?': YES=82.50%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?': YES=33.20%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?': YES=55.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?': YES=12.60%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?': YES=14.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?': YES=2.80%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?': YES=0.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?': YES=90.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?': YES=15.00%
NVDAmarket:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group': YES=78.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?': YES=3.20%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?': YES=6.00%
market:polymarket - 2026-07-29Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?
Polymarket top market 'Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?': YES=0.10%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?': YES=5.70%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Fed rate hike in 2026?
Polymarket top market 'Fed rate hike in 2026?': YES=75.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas': YES=59.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?': YES=1.90%
market:polymarket- 2026-07-29Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Polymarket top market 'Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?': YES=24.00%
market:polymarket Polymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?': YES=40.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group': YES=22.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?': YES=9.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner': YES=11.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Walton': YES=26.00%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?': YES=99.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?': YES=33.50%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Los Cabos Open: Michael Zheng vs Martin Landaluce': YES=92.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?': YES=0.40%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?': YES=20.90%
market:polymarketPolymarket top market 'Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?': YES=0.30%
market:polymarket